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Techmeme
techtechmeme

IDC: Global smartphone shipments fell 22% YoY to 255.3M in Q3, a record quarterly drop, as Samsung and Apple gained while Xiaomi, Oppo, and Vivo saw deeper declines  —  Apple and Samsung continue to benefit from a strong premium portfolio to gain share  —  The global smartphone market shrank 22.0% year …

Techmeme
techtechmeme

Steven Rosenbush / Wall Street Journal: Bloomberg is making its ASKB conversational AI interface available to all Terminal users, letting them integrate their own content with existing financial data  —  Allowing users to add their own information to the company's generative AI-based ASKB interface will feed the system with a new level of context

ArXiv Machine Learning
cs.lgcs.airesearcharxiv machine learningragbenchmark

Scaling Cheap Synthetic Pretraining Improves Indoor Radio-Map Prediction

By Khoren Petrosyan, Artashes Mkrtchyan, Rafayel Mkrtchyan, Hrant Khachatrian, Theofanis P. Raptis

arXiv:2610.19015v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real measurements are too limited to train an accurate indoor pathloss predictor that works across a wide range of buildings. Large-scale synthetic pretraining offers a way forward, but real building layouts are also scarce, and accurate ray-tracing simulators are slow, expensive, and often proprietary. We address both problems by introducing a generator that automatically creates diverse indoor layouts and a fast, open-source approximate ray tracer that computes radio maps for them. Using this pipeline, we generate 128M synthetic samples, pretrain ResNet-101 and Swin-T encoder-decoders, and fine-tune them on high-quality benchmark data. Despite simulator mismatch, our ResNet-101 model reduces error by 15% on average relative to the best known methods across five indoor radio-map prediction tasks and improves transfer on a small real-measurement dataset. Both architectures show predictable data-scaling trends: power laws fitted on 2M-16M samples predict the mean normalized downstream RMSE at 32M-128M with 3.33% mean absolute percentage error for ResNet-101 and 7.10% for Swin-T. These results show that pretraining on large amounts of cheap simulated data can improve indoor radio-map prediction, even when real measurements and high-quality simulations are limited.

ArXiv Machine Learning
cs.lgcs.aiq-bio.qmresearcharxiv machine learningbenchmarkvision

arXiv:2610.18879v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Protein function annotation operates over an expanding label space, making class-incremental learning (CIL) a natural framework for incorporating newly discovered functions without full retraining. Yet existing CIL methods have been developed largely in vision and have not been systematically evaluated over frozen protein representations. We conduct a controlled benchmark of nine representative CIL methods across five sequence-, structure-, and sequence--structure-based protein encoders and two enzyme function datasets at different scales, while keeping the encoders frozen and evaluation settings consistent across representations. We find that no method transfers reliably across encoders, and that these failures persist across alternative phase constructions. Diagnostic analyses reveal that this instability arises from weak gradient-based stability signals, substantial heterogeneity in embedding geometry, and covariance assumptions whose appropriate capacity changes with both dataset scale and encoder. These findings suggest that the representation itself should be treated as a central component of continual-learning design rather than a passive feature extractor. More generally, reliable protein CIL will require encoder-aware methods that adapt their statistical assumptions and capacity to the geometry of the representation on which they operate. Code is available at https://github.com/zygao930/ProteinCIL.

ArXiv NLP
cs.clresearcharxiv nlpllmgpunvidia

Joint Subspace Sparse Attention for Efficient Long-Context Decoding

By Jiwon Song, Yoongon Kim, Jae-Joon Kim

arXiv:2610.19026v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Sparse attention reduces the KV-cache traffic that dominates long-context LLM decoding, but practical methods largely operate at coarse granularity. Token-level selection offers finer control, yet presents two challenges: low-dimensional scoring may lose query--key structure needed for accurate ranking, while gathering scattered selected tokens can offset the resulting latency benefit. We introduce Joint Subspace Sparse Attention (JSSA) to address both challenges. For selection quality, JSSA learns a shared low-dimensional query--key subspace by minimizing token-score preservation error. We upper-bound the resulting non-convex objective with a tractable marginal objective that admits a closed-form spectral solution; direct refinement of the exact objective provides no measurable improvement in the tested settings. For execution efficiency, we develop a gather-free token-level indexed-attention kernel that supports distinct per-KV-head selections under the standard grouped-query attention (GQA) KV-cache layout. Across standard GQA, hybrid sliding-window/global attention, and Multi-head Latent Attention (MLA) models, JSSA consistently remains close to full-KV accuracy while avoiding the substantial generation-length inflation and architecture-dependent failures observed with competing methods. On an NVIDIA B200 GPU, JSSA achieves up to $6.43\times$ the decoding throughput of full-KV attention at 128K context. JSSA achieves reasoning accuracy comparable to model-native DSA without model training and reaches 96--99\% of its decoding throughput even at 700B scale large models.

ArXiv NLP
cs.clcs.airesearcharxiv nlpgeminillmbenchmark

arXiv:2610.19003v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Abstractive summarization remains challenging across languages, where linguistic quality and factual consistency may diverge, particularly in low-resource settings. We present a standardized zero-shot benchmark of eight closed-source and open-weight LLMs on size-matched English and Bengali XL-Sum test sets. Our evaluation combines lexical and semantic metrics with reference-free factuality verification and multidimensional LLM-as-a-Judge assessment, providing a comprehensive analysis of both surface-level quality and factual reliability in multilingual summarization. Results reveal substantial cross-lingual variation: GPT-5.6 Luna leads several English lexical metrics but does not maintain the same advantage in Bengali, where LLaMA 3.3 70B achieves the highest ROUGE and BLEU scores. Gemini 2.5 Flash obtains the highest observed Bengali factuality score. Furthermore, evaluation methods produce different model rankings, highlighting the limitations of relying on a single metric for multilingual summarization assessment. These findings demonstrate that strong English summarization performance does not necessarily transfer to Bengali and emphasize the need for comprehensive evaluation frameworks for low-resource languages.

ArXiv NLP
cs.clresearcharxiv nlp

arXiv:2610.19028v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Science fiction is widely credited with unsettling gender. This article asks whether that holds at the linguistic level, in how readily gendered reference gives way to its counterpart, a neutral term, or other social category, and whether it separates the genre from general fiction. It does so by masking man/men, woman/women, and person/people across same-period science fiction and general fiction corpora and classifying RoBERTa's five likeliest substitutes by gender. Retention and displacement are permutation-tested over five resampling rounds, and the underlying sentences are read closely. Both corpora cross the gender binary in both directions, but unequally: where woman is masked, the model predicts a masculine term about twice as often as it predicts a feminine term where man is masked. Each mismatch marks a statistical surprise, a word the corpus did not expect there. Against this shared pattern, science fiction shows greater gender permeability than the general fiction corpus, placing man in feminine contexts more often than general fiction while the reverse rate holds steady. Its degendering tendency is stronger too, drawing both gendered terms toward the neutral. Beyond the binary, a masked woman also draws substitutes naming a social category and no gender far more often than a masked man does. In measuring the gender permeability of man, woman, and person in linguistic distribution and testing whether genre changes it, the study gives science fiction studies linguistic evidence for thematic claims and computational literary studies a pipeline applicable to other category vocabularies, such as race and class.

ArXiv NLP
cs.clresearcharxiv nlpllminference

arXiv:2610.19048v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Record linkage and demographic inference from names are routine demands in social science. Most approaches to these problems require labeled training data that are difficult or costly to acquire. I show that pre-trained language models perform both tasks accurately without requiring task-specific training. For record linkage, I introduce EnsembleLink, an algorithm that uses pre-trained embeddings alongside string-based scorers to retrieve a short list of candidates and then identify the likeliest matches. EnsembleLink matches or exceeds the performance of most prior approaches while generalizing across scripts and formats that those methods are unable to handle. For ethnicity inference from names, I show that large language models (LLMs) achieve up to 83.8% accuracy on U.S. voter files, compared to 78.0% for name-supplemented BISG. Open-weight models offer reproducible implementations that approach these models in accuracy. Moreover, LLMs are able to infer group membership for religious, caste-based, and other ethnic group categories outside of the United States, and reduce bias in downstream estimates of geographic racial gaps. Where pre-training encodes the world knowledge required by each task, task-specific labels add less information.

ArXiv Computer Vision
cs.cvresearcharxiv computer visionbenchmark

arXiv:2610.19071v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Monocular 3D object detection methods increasingly rely on depth-guided transformers, but they operate entirely in the perspective image plane where spatial relationships are distorted by foreshortening. We propose MonoMIP, a dual-decoder framework that adds complementary 3D geometric reasoning through Bird's-Eye View (BEV) features constructed via Multi-Height Inverse Perspective Mapping. We perform IPM at K elevation planes spanning ground to rooftop, producing an ordered stack of height-conditioned metric BEV features that reduces above-ground misprojection and exposes depth-dependent appearance variation across planes. A BEV decoder with multi-scale deformable attention aggregates this multi-height evidence per query, while a depth-guided 3D decoder provides complementary perspective-space predictions. Without extra training data, MonoMIP attains 25.84% Moderate AP3D|R40 on KITTI val and 21.66% on the official test set for Car, outperforming recent published monocular methods on both the KITTI and Waymo benchmarks.

ArXiv Computer Vision
cs.cvresearcharxiv computer visionmetallmbenchmarkmultimodal

The Gap Is in the Geometry: A Convergent Meta-Analysis of Multi-Facet Aerial and Remote Sensing Video Understanding

By Georgios Angelidis, Aggelos Psiris, Maria Vakalopoulou, Georgios Th. Papadopoulos, Giorgos Sfikas, Iraklis Varlamis

arXiv:2610.19102v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Aerial and remote sensing video is increasingly evaluated like web video, by posing multiple-choice questions to multimodal large language models (MLLMs) over sampled frames and reporting accuracy. This paper argues that this recipe measures the wrong aspect, and supports the claim with a convergent meta-analysis of a broad set of published results, organized in four evidence tiers, in which a claim becomes a position only when collected evidence agrees. Parameter scale exhibits a median of +3.4 accuracy points per tenfold increase on aerial benchmarks, far below a human gap of at least 19 points, whereas acquisition conditions control perception, as 315 of 318 evaluations in 19 within-paper contrasts lose accuracy when conditions such as altitude, view, object size or time horizon become harder. No aerial benchmark in the corpus combines video input with per-task human and random baselines, competence collapses from answering to acting in closed-loop navigation, and the same MLLMs score higher on the aerial benchmark than on ground spatial ones, but lower on studies that test cross-view geometry. From these findings the current study derives five falsifiable principles and proposes the AVU-Card, a reporting card for aerial video benchmarks

ArXiv Computer Vision
cs.cvresearcharxiv computer visioninferencebenchmark

Action Jets: Learning the Local Shape of the Action-conditioned Data Manifold

By Anton Arapin, Chahyon Ku, Bernadette Bucher

arXiv:2610.19007v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: World models are a powerful means of reasoning and planning, but many of these action-conditioned predictive models are high dimensional and computationally expensive. These challenges limit the number of action candidates that can be evaluated by a planner. We show that this cost is avoidable for planners over short horizons, which only require local information with respect to the current state. For a fixed state, the frames reachable by varying a low-dimensional action (a camera movement or an end-effector command) lie on a low-dimensional manifold. We estimate the local shape of that manifold directly via a network trained to estimate how each image region moves per unit of each action axis supervised by data collected from samples by the generator. A correction head fit to trajectory data estimates the shape of this manifold region up to a third-order Taylor polynomial. We call this network estimating the Taylor polynomial describing the manifold shape an Action Jet and compute its radius of validity in closed form. By traversing this approximation of the local manifold shape, we only have to perform inference once per state for any number of candidate actions. Scoring sixteen candidates from a single extraction is over 300x faster than with either source generator, and this gap widens with the number of candidates a planner evaluates. We measure against state-of-the-art action-conditioned generators, IRASim and WorldGym on BridgeData V2, a real 7-DoF manipulation benchmark, and FrameCrafter on DL3DV scenes, where we chart from the novel-view generators DepthSplat and LagerNVS. Because only the tangent comes from the generator and every other term from the data, the Action Jet also predicts held-out frames more accurately than IRASim, the generator that supplied its tangent, at short horizons and at over 100x less compute.

ArXiv Machine Learning
cs.lgcs.aics.clresearcharxiv machine learningllmragvision

Lotus: Learning to Understand Time-series by Learning to Forecast

By Van Dai Do, Huu Hiep Nguyen, Minh Hoang Nguyen, Manh Nguyen, Hung Le

arXiv:2610.18877v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time-series language models typically align numerical signals with language using labels, captions, or question-answer pairs. Although such supervision encourages linguistic representations, it does not explicitly require them to preserve information about how the underlying time-series signal evolves. We introduce forecast grounding, a pretraining principle that requires language-aligned time-series representations to remain predictive of the future evolution before they are adapted to downstream tasks. We instantiate this principle in LOTUS, which divides each time-series channel into non-overlapping patches and maps them into the LLM embedding space. It then predicts the next patch from the LLM hidden states of the time-series tokens, encouraging the learned representation to retain temporal information. To capture both temporal changes and periodic patterns, we also propose a temporal-spectral patch representation that combines each raw time-series patch with its spectral representation before mapping it into the LLM embedding space. Across three language model backbones and six downstream evaluation datasets, LOTUS achieves the best average performance with minimal trainable parameters, reaching 59.91% accuracy and outperforming the strongest matched baseline by 3.36%. Our representation analyses further show that LOTUS uses the numerical input and preserves temporal structure in its learned patch representations. These results establish forecast grounding as a promising pretraining principle, enabling compact time-series language models to outperform models 25 to 50 times their size on TSRBench.

ArXiv NLP
cs.clresearcharxiv nlpllmbenchmark

Can LLMs Access their World Knowledge for Event Prediction?

By Zijun Wu, Zhitian Zhang, Hossein Hajimirsadeghi, Nikita Dvornik, Alexander Pashevich

arXiv:2610.19021v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent work has questioned whether large language models (LLMs) can be useful for temporal event prediction. Despite vast pretrained world knowledge, LLMs often underperform simpler specialized models. We ask whether this knowledge is truly inaccessible, or whether current methods fail to present event prediction in a form LLMs can use. We argue for the latter and show that LLMs become effective event forecasters when the interface is designed around two choices. The first grounds each event in a natural-language description, and the second separates event semantics from the prediction space to prevent semantic bias from label associations. To test this, we introduce DescribeEvent, a benchmark of ~150K events across seven datasets and six domains with event-level descriptions. We find that capable LLMs substantially benefit from descriptions and symbolic labels, outperforming description-free variants and non-LLM baselines, while weaker models gain little. These results suggest that accessing LLM world knowledge for event prediction is an interface problem, and that event descriptions offer a practical way to elicit the knowledge LLMs already encode.

ArXiv NLP
cs.clcs.aics.lgresearcharxiv nlpfine-tuning

From Copying to Composition: How Language Models Develop In-Context Learning

By Minglai Yang, Xinyu Guo, Renxiong Wang, Sunjie Hou, Daniel Yue Zhang, Yunzhong He

arXiv:2610.19113v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In-context learning (ICL) allows language models to adapt their behavior from instructions and demonstrations in a prompt, but accuracy alone does not reveal how contextual information controls their predictions. We study the acquisition and trainability of ICL with a controlled diagnostic that separates copying a nearby demonstration from integrating information across the prompt. Across 17 models, about a third prefer the copied answer, a few are undecided, and the rest prefer the rule-consistent answer, which goes with higher accuracy and with control by the requested value rather than the closest conflicting example. Checkpoint analyses show that models begin prioritizing task-relevant prompt tokens over conflicting examples long before their accuracy improves beyond chance level. In matched training experiments, synthetic documents that define endings and then query them shift models toward compositional responses on the controlled diagnostic, whereas fine-tuning on definition exercises built from rewritten real documents improves accuracy when prompts reassign label meanings. The results suggest that ICL is not acquired as a single, uniform capability. Instead, prompt control, answer preference, construction without candidates, and transfer can develop along distinct trajectories.

ArXiv NLP
cs.clcs.lgresearcharxiv nlp

Similar Models, Broken Odds: Where Luce's Axiom Fails in Chatbot Arena

By Soovadeep Bakshi, Apurba Bose, Aishwarya Bose, Sandip Nandi

arXiv:2610.19095v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Chatbot Arena ranks language models with the Bradley-Terry model, which gives each model one score and so assumes Luce's choice axiom. Choice theory predicts where this fails: near-copies are told apart more decisively than their scores imply. On 1.8 million Arena votes, votes between versions of one model are 1.37 times as decisive as Bradley-Terry predicts, between sizes of one generation 1.26 times and between models of one lab 1.12 times; a release a year later gives consistent multipliers, and the effect survives alternative tie treatments, prompt subsets and topics, and timing checks. How alike two models' answers are worded and formatted tracks the effect. A correction with four to six parameters predicts held-out votes better than Bradley-Terry and than models with hundreds of parameters, mostly by modelling ties; frozen and carried to new releases in a test fixed in advance, its gains are concentrated in ties, and better head-to-head odds are not established. The leaderboard order barely moves. With language-model judges and three-answer menus, a near-copy takes votes mostly from its twin when choices are pooled over prompts (log-odds shift +0.10, 95% interval 0.05 to 0.16); within a prompt the shift is smaller and clear for two of four judges.

ArXiv Computer Vision
cs.cvresearcharxiv computer visionvisionmultimodal

Why Do VLMs Fail at Remote Physiological Measurement? Rethinking with Physiological Grounding and Numerical Alignment

By Xiao Yang, Zekun Zhang, Yuxuan Fan, Duoxun Tang, Ziyang Liu, Dengbo He, Kaishun Wu, Jiyao Wang

arXiv:2610.19052v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Video-based remote physiological measurement (RPM) has broad applications, while Vision-Language Models (VLMs) provide a promising opportunity to enable end-to-end physiological monitoring for future human-aware intelligent systems. However, existing RPM methods rely on task-specific models and cannot be seamlessly integrated with the multimodal understanding and interaction capabilities of VLMs. We revisit RPM with VLMs and provide empirical evidence for two major bottlenecks: generic visual semantic representations fail to preserve fine-grained physiological cues; while discrete token prediction in autoregressive generation is inherently misaligned with continuous numerical measurement. To address these challenges, we propose VITAL (Visual-physiological Token Alignment for Language Models), a visual-physiological token alignment framework for RPM and preserving general vision tasks. VITAL retains the original visual pathway for semantic understanding and introduces an independent physiological pathway to jointly model semantic and physiological information. Moreover, we propose a structured numerical alignment approach to improve the reliability of generative heart rate estimation by enhancing numerical relationship modeling. Extensive experiments show that VITAL improves cross-domain estimation performance on multiple rPPG datasets while preserving the general visual understanding capability of VLMs, demonstrating its effectiveness as a unified visual-physiological model. Code will be released.

ArXiv NLP
cs.clcs.aics.lgresearcharxiv nlpllmagentagentsvisionpolicy

Following the Flow the Law Requires: Training Voice Agents to Transfer to Unseen Regulated Procedures in Debt Collection

By Petmongkon Pornpichitsuwan, Krittin Pachtrachai, Touchapon Kraisingkorn

arXiv:2610.18881v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Voice agents built on large language models (LLMs) now handle customer calls, but in regulated applications completing the task is not enough: the agent must follow a conversational flow set by law. In debt collection, it must confirm it is speaking to the debtor before mentioning the debt, identify itself and the creditor, state the amount, and avoid prohibited language. Every creditor turns these rules into its own procedure and revises it. We ask whether a small, self-hosted policy can be trained once and then follow regulated procedures it has never seen. One machine-readable specification per deployment, FlowSpec, generates the policy instruction, gates the tools, supplies the supervision and defines the tests; the agent speaks only approved catalogue sentences. We fine-tune a 9-billion-parameter model on 2,506 conversations from 297 randomized procedures and evaluate a Thai outbound-call agent on four unseen deployment procedures (three debt collection, one non-debt), one from a wholly withheld lineage. Documented checks, fixed by the procedure, rise from 67--71 percents to 93--100 percents, while grounded checks, fixed by the conversation, already pass at 97--100 percents before training; scenario pass rate rises from 15/43 to 40/43. An audit of the shared specification finds 11 defects, 3 of which its own metric did not expose.

ArXiv Machine Learning
cs.lgcs.aiq-bio.gnresearcharxiv machine learningagent

arXiv:2610.18880v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: High-throughput perturbation screens increasingly use machine-learning models to predict the effects of gene combinations that were never measured. A difficult case arises when both genes in a test pair were seen individually during training, but their combination was not. In this setting, standard OOD methods often fail because neither gene appears unfamiliar on its own. We therefore compare each model prediction with a simple additive prediction obtained by summing the two observed single-gene effects. The difference between them, which we call additive disagreement (AD), measures how much extra interaction effect the model introduces for an unseen combination. Across eight prediction methods and three Perturb-seq datasets, specialised neural predictors do not consistently outperform this simple additive baseline. More importantly, predictions with larger deviations from the additive baseline tend to have larger errors. Conventional output-based and embedding-based confidence signals are inconsistent across datasets and models, whereas AD remains informative across all evaluated compositional settings. We further study how this signal can guide decisions in an agentic perturbation-screening workflow. The code is available at https://github.com/zygao930/OOD.