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OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said fixed cash payments don't "get at what we're really going to need." Andrew Harnik/Getty Images OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is no longer sold on universal basic income. Altman said fixed cash payments may be "useful," but they are not what's truly needed. In the age of AI, Altman is much more interested in some sort of collective ownership model. Sam Altman once spent $14 million of his own money to study universal basic income. Now, the OpenAI CEO says he's not sold on it. "I no longer believe in universal basic income as much as I once did," Altman told The Atlantic CEO Nicholas Thompson during an interview for his "The Most Interesting Thing in AI" series. Altman said that while a fixed cash payment may sound nice, it won't meet what society will truly need as AI adoption rises, sparking a potential upheaval in the labor market. "I think just like a fixed cash payment, although useful and maybe a good idea in some ways, does not get at what we're really going to need for this next phase and the kind of collective alignment of shared upside as the balance between labor and capital shifts," Altman said. As interest in UBI exploded in 2019, Altman helped raise $60 million, including $14 million of his own money, to fund the largest-of-its-kind experiment giving low-income participants $1,000 a month for three years. "It's impossible to truly have equality of opportunity without some version of guaranteed income," Altman said when announcing the project. Researchers ultimately found that while overall spending increased among those who received the cash payments, there was no "direct evidence of improved access to healthcare or improvements to physical and mental health." Over time, Altman has focused more about twists to the traditional UBI of direct cash payments. The OpenAI CEO has repeatedly suggested the possibility of giving people a portion of AI compute, which could then be used, sold, or traded. "I'm much more interested in ways where we think about kind of collective ownership that could be in compute or in equities or something else," he said. OpenAI recently proposed a slightly different model in a white paper outlining an industrial policy for the AI age. In the paper, OpenAI proposed creating a Public Wealth Fund that would provide "every citizen — including those not invested in financial markets — with a stake in AI-driven economic growth." Both approaches would give society a stake in AI and its future development, perhaps alleviating what Altman and many of his peers now openly acknowledge: AI is becoming less popular. "I think what people really want is prosperity, agency, the ability to have an interesting life, and to be fulfilled and have some impact," he said. Altman said that in the end, it's about getting AI into the hands of as many people as possible. "I think if it's limited and hard to use and not well integrated, then the kind of existing rich people are going to bid up the price," he said, and it's going to lead to further stratification." Read the original article on Business Insider

David von Rosen, who spends part of his year in Dubai, made his fortune through Lottoland. Courtesy of David von Rosen David von Rosen, a German billionaire who founded Lottoland, has lived on six continents. After living in locations including the US, South Africa, and Australia, he chose two places to call home. Von Rosen now lives between Switzerland and the UAE, a combo he calls "unbeatable." This as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with David von Rosen, 50, the founder of the online lottery company Lottoland. Business Insider has verified his residences and net worth. The piece has been edited for length and clarity. Ever since I was a teenager, I've played a game of imagining all the places I'd like to live. I grew up in a very small town in central Germany, a rural and safe place, but I knew very early on that I didn't want to stay there. I wanted to explore the world. Now, I've traveled widely and lived on six different continents. Eventually, in my 40s, I found the perfect combination of two places to call home. I lived in North America as a teenager Von Rosen, far right, went on an exchange in the US as a teenager. Courtesy of David von Rosen In 1991, when I was 15, I did an exchange trip to Walla Walla, Washington. I stayed with a loving family, and it was a great experience. That's where my love for the US grew, and I thought I wanted to live there forever. That changed at 19, when I started an undergraduate degree at Northwestern near Chicago. It quickly felt like I was relearning things I already knew, and I felt socially out of place. I left after a semester, returned to Germany, and enrolled at the European Business School near Frankfurt in 1996, which had a strong emphasis on studying abroad. Von Rosen dropped out of college in Chicago. Courtesy of David von Rosen Buenos Aires was beautiful, but too far from family As part of my studies, I spent time in Buenos Aires, a beautiful city. I learned a new language and visited places like Patagonia. Argentina was out of the ordinary, but I was never tempted to live there. It was simply too far away from my family in Europe. Von Rosen, left, studied abroad in Argentina. Courtesy of David von Rosen Interning in Australia made me fall in love with Sydney I also got the opportunity to live in Sydney while at EBS, interning for a bank from late 2000 to early 2001. I lived on Bondi Beach and fell in love with the city's casual vibe. After work, we'd often have a beer on the beach. Everyone was friendly and relaxed, and I loved the combination of city and beach life. I wanted to live in Sydney again one day, but that never happened. Von Rosen lived on Bondi Beach in Sydney during his 20s. Courtesy of David von Rosen I still think about owning a small beach house in Cape Town After graduating in 2001 and working in the US for a short while, I came up with a business idea to launch in Germany. I moved to Munich in 2002 and launched my student loan company, CareerConcept. In 2008, when I sensed CareerConcept was coming to an end, I wanted to try something new. My then-girlfriend, now wife, lived in Cape Town, South Africa, for almost six months. I loved the city, especially the morning runs where I could smell and see the ocean. I never moved back to South Africa, but I still think about one day owning a small beach house in Cape Town. When I started doing well financially, we explored more of the world In 2012, I already had the idea for Lottoland, the online betting company. It made sense to launch it in Gibraltar, where I worked with regulators to get a gambling license. We moved there in 2013, and the company did very well, significantly changing my financial circumstances. By 2018, I had stepped back from day-to-day operations. My wife and I decided to spend a few months each year in different places with our two children. David von Rosen traveled around Costa Rica. Courtesy of David von Rosen We spent time in Costa Rica, where the kids attended an American school, and I surfed and explored Central America. We also went to Dubai for a semester. I got to know the city well. There are a lot of business opportunities, as well as money and ambition. It's what I imagine New York was like in the 1920s. I really fell in love with it. The combination of Switzerland and the UAE is unbeatable We'd lived in a lot of warm places. In 2020, at 45, we decided to go somewhere colder. We found a school in Verbier, Switzerland, and moved that January. We'd only planned to stay a couple of months, but when COVID-19 hit, we ended up staying longer. Verbier is an international community, with a small-town vibe that reminded me of where I grew up. In the winter, we got to ski, and in the spring, we discovered so many other new sports, like mountaineering and downhill biking. By summer, we'd decided to stay for good. Von Rosen enjoys doing winter sports in Verbier, Switzerland. Courtesy of David von Rosen I came to realize that there's probably no single place to live that ticks all the boxes. That's why, if you have the freedom to live in more than one place, it can be a wise decision. We split our year between Dubai and Verbier, and decide how long we spend in each based on the weather, work opportunities, and the kids' schooling. Verbier is a small town that's all about outdoor activities. Dubai, by contrast, is a buzzing city full of energy and opportunity. The combination of the two places, I realized, was unbeatable for us. It's no secret that both are low-tax jurisdictions, but that should never be a deciding factor on where to live. I'd rather pay more tax and live in the best place possible. It just happens that these offer a great quality of life without exorbitant taxes. Together, Dubai and Verbier offer the best lifestyle combination I could ever imagine. I hope that they will be my family's bases for many years to come. Read the original article on Business Insider

Gas prices, on average, are elevated. Frederic J. BROWN / AFP via Getty Images Real GDP rose at an annualized rate of 2% in the first quarter of 2026, just short of the expected 2.2%. That's higher than the 0.5% rise in the fourth quarter of 2025. Investment in software and computer equipment was high, reflecting the ongoing data center boom. The US started 2026 with a comeback. US real gross domestic product rose at an annualized rate of 2% in the first quarter, short of the 2.2% expected but above the 0.5% rise in the fourth quarter of 2025. window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var t in a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data["datawrapper-height"][t]+"px";r.style.height=d}}}); "Compared to the fourth quarter of 2025, the acceleration in real GDP in the first quarter of 2026 reflected upturns in government spending and exports, and an acceleration in investment that were partly offset by a deceleration in consumer spending," the new release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis said. "Imports turned up." Federal spending bounced back after the record-long government shutdown, rising at a 9.3% annualized rate after the 16.6% drop in the fourth quarter of 2025. Private domestic investment rose 8.7%, far surpassing the previous 2.3%. Investment in the data center boom is still going strong. Information processing equipment investment, which includes AI and data center investments, rose 43.4% after a 37% rise in the fourth. Investment in software grew at a 22.6% rate, up from 4.8% in the fourth. Consumer spending slowed again but is still growing, rising 1.6%, with goods dropping 0.1% and services rising 2.4%. Personal consumption expenditures price index rose 4.5%, up from the previous 2.9%. Other data releases show how the economy was shaping up at the start of the year. The job market continued to fluctuate between job growth and job loss. The US added 178,000 jobs in March, largely driven by healthcare and leisure and hospitality. That comes after a 133,000 loss in February due to weather and a healthcare strike. Unemployment is still hovering around 4%. The effects of the Iran war showed up in the recent consumer price index report, with CPI rising 3.3% over the year, the largest increase since May 2024, due to a surge in energy prices. The effects haven't really shown up in core prices yet, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. Atsi Sheth, the chief credit officer at Moody's Ratings, described the economy ahead of the GDP report as "fragile resilience" because the US isn't in a recession, and both business and consumers are still holding up. The economy has also been fairly resistant to trade shocks, she added. However, she said the pillars holding up the economy are increasingly thinning as more shocks emerge. "On the employment side, for instance, there's just now a narrower range of sectors that are actually adding jobs, healthcare being a big one among them, not that many other sectors are adding jobs," she said. Jason Draho, the head of asset allocation for the Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management, told Business Insider before the new GDP release that the figure was expected to be noisy, as it has been because of the effect of trade policies. "What I would focus on is the private sector final demand in the US economy, because that kind of ignores inventory effects and ignores net exports, which can be volatile," he said. "Once you strip out some of the volatility and noise from some of these factors that are still being buffeted by the tariffs and then later in the quarter by the Iran conflict, that mechanically, again, can distort import prices, export prices, and the value of it based on moving commodity prices," Draho added. The new GDP report comes one day after the Fed's decision to keep interest rates steady. That was the last meeting with Jerome Powell as Fed Chair. "He's had to deal with just what is seemingly never-ending string of massive shocks to the economy, from the pandemic to the Russian war and Ukraine, to the tariffs, to the immigration policy, and now to the Iran war," said Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody's Analytics. Read the original article on Business Insider

Researching the path to AI-augmented care and development of an AI co-clinician.

This is today’s edition of The Download, our weekday newsletter that provides a daily dose of what’s going on in the world of technology. Digging for clues about the North Pole’s past In the past, getting to the North Pole involved a treacherous trip through ice many meters thick. But last year, a research vessel…

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Bloomberg/Getty Images; Tyler Le/BI In the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, the first sign of the "bursting" came when the leaders — like Amazon.com — started missing projections. Flash forward some 26 years, and we learned Monday that OpenAI is missing revenue and user projections, according to the Wall Street Journal. So the question for the OpenAI community — and the much broader community fueling and feasting on the AI market bubble — is whether OpenAI's problems are limited to OpenAI… or a sign that this first jaw-dropping era of AI euphoria and growth is coming to an end. Playing catch-up The Journal's story reported that OpenAI "recently missed its own targets for new users and revenue." Specifically, OpenAI missed its internal goal of reaching 1 billion weekly users (an eighth of the people on the planet) by the end of last year — and still hasn't reported hitting this milestone. It also missed its revenue targets last year and in the early months of this year, after Google Gemini and Anthropic caught up in terms of capability and began eating into OpenAI's market share. The company pushed back on the report, but the news still knocked the Nasdaq down a bit, with companies exposed to OpenAI getting the worst of it. But the bigger issue coming out of the Journal report is less about the exact targets and more about the reality that the market is finite and that other AI companies are "catching up" to OpenAI. When a benchmarking firm announced a few months ago that Google's Gemini had surpassed OpenAI's ChatGPT in some performance metrics, I suggested that OpenAI was "in trouble." My logic was that many of those who remain euphorically bullish about OpenAI despite its almost-trillion-dollar valuation and woozifying cash burn often justify their optimism by saying, "OpenAI is the Google or Amazon of AI." Maybe it will be. But it's worth noting three things: The Google of the internet — Google — barely existed during the dot-com bubble. Back then, Yahoo and AOL were the "Googles of the internet." Everyone thought they would be the "Googles of the internet" forever. Turned out, they weren't. The Amazon of the internet — Amazon — grew like a bat out of hell in the latter half of the 1990s, and its stock exploded to levels that were, at the time, astonishing. Then growth slowed, and the stock dropped more than 90%. So, even if OpenAI does go on to become "the Amazon of AI," it may still go through a brutal fight-for-survival period. This period will be painful, and its valuation may collapse. Even as Amazon's growth slowed and stock tanked, no other company ever "caught up" to Amazon. At its lowest, it was still leaving Barnes & Noble, Walmart, and all other challengers in the dust. OpenAI cannot say the same. What it means for OpenAI to be the "Amazon of AI" It's worth spending a bit more time on this Amazon comparison, because the trajectory of the e-commerce behemoth can give us some perspective on where OpenAI stands now. Let me take you back to the end of 1999, the last euphoric year of the early internet bubble. Amazon's stock peaked in early December. Then, the company reported its fourth-quarter earnings in early January 2000. The numbers were "very good but not spectacular," according to a Merrill Lynch analyst named Henry Blodget, as quoted by Saul Hansell in The New York Times. Specifically, Amazon's revenue fell short of Wall Street's "whisper number," a sort of informal projection among the analysts watching the company. The pace of revenue growth, while still otherworldly, slowed to a mere 157%, and Amazon lost $323 million that quarter, more than expected. (Couch change compared to AI losses, but meaningful in those days.) There were, of course, excuses. I remember that one of them was that Amazon had bought too much toy inventory for its new toy store. Amazon said it would learn from the experience and get better at inventory management. Amazon did get better, but despite the operational tweaks, that was the top. The Merrill Lynch analyst, Henry Blodget, should have downgraded the stock and sold his own position. Alas, he didn't. Instead, he rode it all the way down until it almost went bankrupt a year later. Fortunately, Amazon didn't go bankrupt. It went on to become "the Amazon of the internet" — one of the few leaders of that era to ever regain and then blow past its bubble high. In so doing, Amazon generated so much shareholder value that it made up for the zeroes in all the other internet bets that many internet investors — including this one — incurred. Maybe OpenAI will do that. But maybe we've just gotten the reminder that all markets are finite, even in the age of incredible technology like AI. And that, in finite markets, valuation does eventually matter. At some point, if OpenAI wants to make its shareholders money, it will have to generate, say, $20 billion of annual profit to justify its current ~$1 trillion valuation (which would equate to 50 times earnings). To bring the comparison back, Amazon generated $77 billion in profit last year — more than 30 years after its founding — and only started showing signs of sustainable profit in the early 2000s. So, a long march to big returns is possible. On the other hand, some of Amazon's internet 1.0 competitors, like AOL and Yahoo, generate almost no profit these days. Given that OpenAI is expected to burn around $200 billion of cash before it starts generating profits, following the Amazon path will require a major change in the company's financial trajectory, and missing revenue and user benchmarks is a serious misstep toward that goal. Even if the troubles are limited to OpenAI, reality will eventually catch up with the euphoric AI economy. When it does, most of the current crop of AI startups will die, and valuations across the sector will compress, as they have in prior innovation bubbles (the internet, railroads, etc.). Then, if past is prologue, a handful of AI companies should survive the Darwinian shakeout and go on to inherit the earth. Does OpenAI's slowing growth mean the AI shakeout has begun? We'll see. But the innovation-boom pattern is as old as the hills. As one of my cynical veteran colleagues back in the internet days was fond of saying: "Many turtles hatch. Few make it to the sea." A version of this piece originally ran in Regenerator; it is reprinted here with permission. Henry Blodget is the cofounder and former CEO of Business Insider. He now writes the Regenerator newsletter and hosts the Solutions podcast. He has a range of investments, including shares of Amazon. Read the original article on Business Insider